sunshine here in new york city. which seems to contrast to this harbinger of winter. that's the 30 rock ice rink. it opened officially for the season just moments ago, everyone. i'd like to be out there but i'm going to stay here for awhile. weather channel meteorologist maria larosa is joining us with the forecast. >> alex, good morning. we had a major storm system beginning to wrap up in through the central plains. you can see with the clouds and the showers and thunderstorms already beginning to develop. this is the area that will likely see severe weather throughout the day. and unfortunately, it does mean the potential for a few tornadoes. as the area of low pressure develops it's going to drag through a cold front and it's right in that area between the cold front and the warm front, western missouri, into oklahoma, into texas that we have the highest risk for those strong thunderstorms. the gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated tornadoes. notice on the northern side, too, from madison to minneapolis, it's warm enough for rain. in fact we could see a few thunderstorms there, as well.